Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
53.15% ( -0.05) | 24.28% ( 0.01) | 22.56% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.96% ( -0.01) | 50.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% ( -0.01) | 72.01% ( 0.01) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% ( -0.02) | 18.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% ( -0.04) | 50.16% ( 0.04) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.19% ( 0.03) | 36.8% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( 0.03) | 73.59% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 11.55% 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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