Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.