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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Fleetwood Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
MK Dons

Fleetwood
2 - 1
MK Dons

Broom (33'), Rooney (68')
Bonds (14'), Coughlin (42'), Wiredu (45+2'), Rooney (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Reilly (81')
White (14'), Hendry (90+6'), Hendry (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 4-2 MK Dons
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 MK Dons

Fleetwood's recent momentum under Wild, combined with their unbeaten run against the Dons, gives them a slight edge, which is why we are predicting a win for the hosts to maintain their streak in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fleetwood Town.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawMK Dons
39.51% (4.353 4.35) 25.51% (0.178 0.18) 34.98% (-4.53 -4.53)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.648 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-0.824 -0.82)48.15% (0.825 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.761 -0.76)70.31% (0.761 0.76)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (2.012 2.01)24.06% (-2.011 -2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (2.785 2.79)58.34% (-2.783 -2.78)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-2.874 -2.87)26.57% (2.876 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-3.977 -3.98)61.79% (3.977 3.98)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 39.51%
    MK Dons 34.98%
    Draw 25.51%
Fleetwood TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.803 0.8)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.561 0.56)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.905 0.91)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.482 0.48)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.244 0.24)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.257 0.26)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.51%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.422 -0.42)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.611 -0.61)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.79 -0.79)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.598 -0.6)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.593 -0.59)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.317 -0.32)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs MK Dons

Fleetwood Town
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
MK Dons
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
MK Dons
1-2
Fleetwood
O'Hora (52')
Johnston (72'), Batty (90+1')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Fleetwood
1-1
MK Dons
Lane (51')
Biggins (47'), Butterworth (73'), Pilkington (82')
Darling (12')
Watson (82'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
3-3
Fleetwood
Twine (27', 39', 73')
O'Riley (81')
G (12'), Garner (32'), Batty (88')
Rossiter (63'), Biggins (78')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Fleetwood
1-1
MK Dons
Garner (61')
Burns (88')
Brown (83')
Kasumu (16'), Sorinola (68'), Lewington (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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