Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.