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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | MK Dons |
44.12% ( -0.22) | 23.42% ( -0.06) | 32.46% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 62.45% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.89% ( 0.42) | 39.11% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.56% ( 0.44) | 61.44% ( -0.44) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.9% ( 0.08) | 18.1% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.96% ( 0.13) | 49.04% ( -0.13) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( 0.37) | 23.75% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( 0.53) | 57.89% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |