Fortaleza1 - 0Sao Paulo
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
for
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
for
We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Sao Paulo
While Sao Paulo will be looking to return to winning ways, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a spirited Fortaleza side who have been simply outstanding at home in recent weeks. Zubeldia's men have managed just one away win since the start of June and we see them struggling at the Estadio Castelao. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortaleza.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Sao Paulo |
41.32% ( -0.81) | 27.13% ( 0.34) | 31.55% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.41% ( -1.19) | 55.59% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( -0.98) | 76.75% ( 0.98) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% ( -0.97) | 26.49% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% ( -1.32) | 61.68% ( 1.31) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% ( -0.28) | 32.47% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31% ( -0.32) | 69% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Fortaleza | Draw | Sao Paulo |
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.55% |
How you voted: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 28 | 28 | 73 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 70 |
3 | InternacionalInternacional | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 65 |
4 | FortalezaFortaleza | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 65 |
5 | FlamengoFlamengo | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 63 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 59 |
7 | Cruzeiro | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Bahia | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 47 |
9 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 47 |
10 | Atletico Mineiro | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 43 |
12 | Vitoria | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 42 |
13 | JuventudeJuventude | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 42 |
14 | Gremio | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 41 |
15 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 41 |
16 | Fluminense | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 39 |
17 | CriciumaCriciuma | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
18 | BragantinoBragantino | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 37 |
19 | Cuiaba | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 26 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |