MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:38:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Gremio

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Gremio

Moura (10')
Vinicius (38'), Moura (41'), Zubeldia (42'), Pires (78'), Ribeiro (90+1'), Welington (90+13')
Vinicius (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (23'), Villasanti (31'), Pires (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Operario PR
Sunday, July 14 at 3pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Sao Paulo 2-0 Gremio

 After going winless in both games on their turf to start the season, picking one point from six, Sao Paulo have secured 15 points from the next 18 to boost their prospects of at least ending higher than last season's 11th. They should defeat a team that have scored just three times and secured one road point from six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao PauloDrawGremio
56.82% (0.891 0.89) 24.66% (-0.475 -0.48) 18.52% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 44.56% (0.603 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96% (1.163 1.16)56.04% (-1.162 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (0.935 0.93)77.12% (-0.934 -0.93)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (0.809 0.81)19.65% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (1.299 1.3)51.62% (-1.297 -1.3)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.46% (0.194 0.19)44.54% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.43% (0.154 0.15)80.57% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 56.81%
    Gremio 18.52%
    Draw 24.65%
Sao PauloDrawGremio
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.28% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.18 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 56.81%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.399 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 18.52%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Gremio

Sao Paulo
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
Gremio
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sao Paulo
3-0
Gremio
Araujo (21'), Maia (68'), Luciano (90+7')
Maia (43')

Kannemann (21'), Josue (69'), Suarez (89')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Gremio
2-1
Sao Paulo
Cristaldo (31' pen.), Reinaldo (39')
Reinaldo (82'), Mila (88')
Calleri (15')
Franco (29')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 35
Gremio
3-0
Sao Paulo
Thiago (23'), Barbosa (68'), Robert (90+4')
Costa (74'), Grando (85'), Borja (90+3')

Rigoni (60'), Miranda (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 1am
Gameweek 16
Sao Paulo
2-1
Gremio
Reinaldo (18'), Alves (21'), Gomes (61')
Geromel (12'), Felipe Scolari (61')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 36
Gremio
1-2
Sao Paulo
Souza (33')
Doin (59'), Souza (90'), Alisson (90+2'), Pinares (90+8'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pinares (90+10')
Tche (63'), Luciano (68')
Carneiro (59'), Alves (75'), Vinicius (81'), Tche (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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