We said: Sao Paulo 2-0 Gremio
After going winless in both games on their turf to start the season, picking one point from six, Sao Paulo have secured 15 points from the next 18 to boost their prospects of at least ending higher than last season's 11th.
They should defeat a team that have scored just three times and secured one road point from six matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.
0.89) 
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