Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
42.63% ( 0.13) | 25.25% ( -0.04) | 32.12% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( 0.14) | 47.68% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( 0.13) | 69.87% ( -0.13) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( 0.12) | 22.3% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( 0.18) | 55.77% ( -0.18) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( 0.01) | 28.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.22% ( 0.01) | 63.78% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Partick ThistlePartick | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 11 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |