MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 04:34:25| >> :600:19370577:19370577:
Greenock Morton
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
Hearts logo

Morton
0 - 1
Hearts


Baird (24'), Broadfoot (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vargas (86')
Devlin (43'), Grant (59'), Shankland (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Greenock Morton and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 0-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Celtic
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Greenock Morton 1-4 Hearts

With all the pressure on Hearts, Morton will feel like they can play with a certain level of freedom to cause one of the upsets of this year's competition. However, we cannot see Hearts faltering on Monday night, the visitors likely to run out convincing victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawHearts
34% (-0.341 -0.34) 25.79% (0.032 0.03) 40.2% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.202 -0.2)49.56% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-0.181 -0.18)71.58% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)27.84% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)63.44% (0.392 0.39)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)24.33% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)58.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 34%
    Hearts 40.2%
    Draw 25.79%
Greenock MortonDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.77% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Morton vs Hearts

Greenock Morton
11.4%
Draw
6.3%
Hearts
82.3%
79
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7.05pm
Gameweek 25
Morton
0-0
Hearts
Souttar (79')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
1-1
Morton
Walker (71')
Halliday (5')
McGuffie (53')
McGinty (21'), Colville (56'), Salkeld (65'), Blues (67')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morton
0-2
Hearts
Walker (37', 49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham197842825329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!