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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Newport County

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Newport

Rose (33')
Green (36'), Thompson (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Charsley (36'), Jephcott (54')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 0-4 Crawley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
42.09% (3.655 3.66) 24.54% (0.642 0.64) 33.36% (-4.301 -4.3)
Both teams to score 58.76% (-3.126 -3.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91% (-3.755 -3.76)44.08% (3.752 3.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-3.761 -3.76)66.46% (3.759 3.76)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (0.114 0.11)21.02% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.18% (0.17599999999999 0.18)53.81% (-0.179 -0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-4.074 -4.07)25.59% (4.071 4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-5.895 -5.9)60.47% (5.893 5.89)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 42.09%
    Newport County 33.36%
    Draw 24.53%
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.479 0.48)
1-0 @ 8.39% (1.322 1.32)
2-0 @ 6.54% (1.049 1.05)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.556 0.56)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.221 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.57 0.57)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.405 -0.41)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.831 0.83)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.549 -0.55)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.345 0.35)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.371 -0.37)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.731 -0.73)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.558 -0.56)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.479 -0.48)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.435 -0.44)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.334 -0.33)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.36%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Newport
1-1
Grimsby Town
Bogle (72')
Bogle (90+4')
Rose (78')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Grimsby Town
1-1
Newport
McAtee (36')
Farquharson (55')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newport
1-0
Grimsby Town
Maynard (51')
Bennett (37')

Matete (81')
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 12
Grimsby Town
0-2
Newport

Hendrie (24'), Taylor (52'), Waterfall (66')
Twine (25'), Amond (45+1' pen.)
Willmott (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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