Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Conference League
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Conference League
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Mainz 0-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Heidenheim 1-2 Mainz 05
Heidenheim will feel they can regularly threaten Mainz's goal given the visitors have struggled on the road recently. However, the hosts are likely to be fatigued after their exploits in Europe on Thursday, and it would not be surprising if Mainz fought their way back into the game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
37.61% ( 0.5) | 25.25% ( -0.04) | 37.14% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.2) | 46.79% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.19) | 69.05% ( -0.18) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( 0.36) | 24.45% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.11% ( 0.5) | 58.89% ( -0.5) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.16) | 24.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.22) | 59.25% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Heidenheim 37.61%
Mainz 05 37.14%
Draw 25.24%
| Heidenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.14% |
How you voted: Heidenheim vs Mainz
Heidenheim
25.4%Draw
28.6%Mainz 05
46.0%63
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Mainz
0-2
Heidenheim
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Heidenheim
1-1
Mainz
Form Guide
