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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | St Pauli |
36.28% ( 0.15) | 25.08% ( 0.03) | 38.64% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 57.43% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.94% ( -0.14) | 46.06% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.64% ( -0.13) | 68.36% ( 0.13) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( 0.02) | 24.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% ( 0.02) | 59.44% ( -0.03) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.42% ( -0.16) | 23.58% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.35% ( -0.23) | 57.64% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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