Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia Monchengladbach
Gladbach won the reverse fixture (2-1) in December, claiming their fourth consecutive win over Hoffenheim to extend their undefeated sequence against this weekend's opponent to five. While Saturday's game could end in a draw, we are sticking our necks out for an away win, with the visitors showing some stability in recent road games.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.33% . A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.5%) . The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%) . The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result Hoffenheim Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 49.33% ( 0.12) 21.06% ( -0.02) 29.61% ( -0.09)
Both teams to score 69.77% ( 0.01)
71.11% ( 0.05) 28.89% ( -0.04)
50.15% ( 0.05) 49.85% ( -0.05)
87.6% ( 0.05) 12.4% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 61.72% ( 0.1) 38.28% ( -0.1)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
79.64% ( -0.03) 20.36% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.24% ( -0.05) 52.76% ( 0.05)
Hoffenheim 49.33%
Borussia Monchengladbach 29.61%
Draw 21.06%
Hoffenheim Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.33% 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.57% 0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.06% 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.61%
How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'bach
Hoffenheim
Draw
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
34.4%
32
rhs 2.0
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