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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Holstein Kiel
2 - 4
Frankfurt

Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Considering the strong form of the visitors in recent Bundesliga matches, they should be favourites in Sunday's game. However, after Eintracht Frankfurt's Europa League exploits last Thursday, it would not be surprising if Holstein Kiel created opportunities due to the away team's fatigue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
31.2% (-0.21 -0.21) 23% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 45.8% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.242 0.24)37.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.259 0.26)59.84% (-0.26 -0.26)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.202 0.2)16.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (0.35899999999999 0.36)46.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 31.2%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8%
    Draw 22.99%
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.8%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Frankfurt

Holstein Kiel
14.9%
Draw
10.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt
74.3%
74
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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