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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
31.2% ( -0.21) | 23% ( -0.07) | 45.8% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 63.4% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( 0.24) | 37.61% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.16% ( 0.26) | 59.84% ( -0.26) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% ( -0.01) | 23.76% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% ( -0.01) | 57.91% ( 0.01) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% ( 0.2) | 16.84% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.16% ( 0.36) | 46.84% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.29% Total : 45.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
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