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Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Bero (15'), Daschner (22')
Bero (39'), de Wit (48'), Passlack (78'), Hofmann (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Machino (89', 35')
Knudsen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel

 While Bochum will fancy themselves against wet-behind-the-ears opposition in Kiel, the new boys hope their expertise on the road under Rapp stands them in good stead in North Rhine-Westphalia. Even though Saturday's outcome could be a score draw, we back the hosts to eke out a marginal victory against the promoted side to register their first points of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
43.84% (1.864 1.86) 22.69% (-0.484 -0.48) 33.47% (-1.388 -1.39)
Both teams to score 65.62% (1.403 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.88% (2.012 2.01)35.12% (-2.02 -2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.87% (2.208 2.21)57.12% (-2.217 -2.22)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (1.563 1.56)16.62% (-1.571 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55% (2.741 2.74)46.44% (-2.749 -2.75)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.205 0.2)21.3% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.32100000000001 0.32)54.23% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.84%
    Holstein Kiel 33.47%
    Draw 22.69%
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.266 0.27)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.252 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.206 0.21)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.154 0.15)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.538 -0.54)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 33.47%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel

VfL Bochum
88.6%
Draw
9.1%
Holstein Kiel
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 27
VfL Bochum
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Zoller (5', 60')
Tesche (21'), Pantovic (62'), Zulj (90+1')
Muhling (81' pen.)
Wahl (60')
Dec 4, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Holstein Kiel
3-1
VfL Bochum
Muhling (31' pen.), Bartels (64'), Jae-sung (65')
Zoller (33')
Losilla (90+2')
May 27, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
VfL Bochum
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Osei-Tutu (49'), Ganvoula (63')
Gamboa (26'), Osei-Tutu (88'), Soares (90+3')
Meffert (74')
Young-Jae (48')
Oct 25, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Holstein Kiel
2-1
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (9'), Serra (52')
Baku (34'), Eberwein (38'), Meffert (45'), Muhling (67')
Ganvoula (38' pen.)
Ganvoula (49'), Eisfeld (65'), Wintzheimer (80'), Riemann (83'), Soares (92')
Feb 23, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 23
VfL Bochum
1-3
Holstein Kiel
Zoller (77')
Muhling (30'), Serra (32' pen.), Okugawa (41')
Meffert (14'), Okugawa (37'), Karazor (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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