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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Holstein Kiel
2 - 4
Frankfurt

Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Considering the strong form of the visitors in recent Bundesliga matches, they should be favourites in Sunday's game. However, after Eintracht Frankfurt's Europa League exploits last Thursday, it would not be surprising if Holstein Kiel created opportunities due to the away team's fatigue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
31.2% (-0.21 -0.21) 23% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 45.8% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.242 0.24)37.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.259 0.26)59.84% (-0.26 -0.26)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.202 0.2)16.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (0.35899999999999 0.36)46.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 31.2%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8%
    Draw 22.99%
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.8%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Frankfurt

Holstein Kiel
14.9%
Draw
10.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt
74.3%
74
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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