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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Holstein Kiel
2 - 4
Frankfurt

Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Considering the strong form of the visitors in recent Bundesliga matches, they should be favourites in Sunday's game. However, after Eintracht Frankfurt's Europa League exploits last Thursday, it would not be surprising if Holstein Kiel created opportunities due to the away team's fatigue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
31.2% (-0.21 -0.21) 23% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 45.8% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.242 0.24)37.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.259 0.26)59.84% (-0.26 -0.26)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.202 0.2)16.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (0.35899999999999 0.36)46.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 31.2%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8%
    Draw 22.99%
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.8%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Frankfurt

Holstein Kiel
14.9%
Draw
10.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt
74.3%
74
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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