Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Hoffenheim3 - 2Holstein Kiel
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wurzburger 2-2 Hoffenheim (3-4 pen.)
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Friday, August 16 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Alemannia Aachen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Anything other than a Hoffenheim win would come as a shock, but it remains to be seen whether the hosts have tightened up their leaky defence from last season. The visitors have also shown in pre-season that they are a side that do not concede many goals or chances, and we expect this game to be tighter than some might think. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
41.69% ( 0.02) | 22.44% ( 0.01) | 35.87% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.31% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
