Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Rosario Central.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente
Monday, August 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, August 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, August 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Rosario Central |
48.98% ( 0.16) | 29.23% ( -0.14) | 21.79% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 37.79% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.78% ( 0.38) | 67.22% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.59% ( 0.25) | 85.41% ( -0.25) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% ( 0.27) | 28.02% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% ( 0.34) | 63.66% ( -0.34) |
Rosario Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.49% ( 0.21) | 47.51% ( -0.21) |