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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Suarez (1', 6')
Aviles (12'), Suarez (45+8'), Alba (90+4')
Aviles (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yedlin (42'), Awaziem (45+4'), Acosta (65'), Robinson (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Inter Miami
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

 Having lost each of the last three meetings between the teams, including a humiliating 6-1 loss in July's reverse fixture, we expect Inter Miami men to go all out looking to get one over Cincinnati. While Noonan's men have been tough to crack away from home, we predict that the Herons will come away with a narrow victory and return to league action on a positive note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
45.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.21% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 32.21% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 66.93% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)33.21% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)54.96% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)15.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (-0.064 -0.06)43.88% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.06% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)53.87% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.59%
    FC Cincinnati 32.21%
    Draw 22.21%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
82.2%
Draw
8.9%
FC Cincinnati
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
6-1
Inter Miami
Kubo (10', 57'), Acosta (36'), Bucha (38'), Rodrigo Asad (45+4'), Valenzuela (72')
Nwobodo (55'), Santos (90')
Krivtsov (21')
Cremaschi (54'), Weigandt (59'), Krivtsov (61'), Busquets (62')
Busquets (63')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
0-1
Cincinnati
Barreal (78')
Nwobodo (27'), Celentano (83')
> Preview
Aug 24, 2023 12am
Semi-Finals
Cincinnati
3-3
Inter Miami
(Aggregate 3-3 | Inter Miami win 5-4 on penalties)
Acosta (18'), Vazquez (53'), Kubo (114')
Nwobodo (31'), Acosta (85'), Barreal (90'), Powell (111'), Arias (117')
Campana (68', 90+7'), Martinez (93')
Alba (24'), Daniel Martino (25'), Mota (41'), Aviles (70'), Krivtsov (80')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-0
Inter Miami
Mosquera (45+5')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')
> Preview
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