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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Suarez (1', 6')
Aviles (12'), Suarez (45+8'), Alba (90+4')
Aviles (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yedlin (42'), Awaziem (45+4'), Acosta (65'), Robinson (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Having lost each of the last three meetings between the teams, including a humiliating 6-1 loss in July's reverse fixture, we expect Inter Miami men to go all out looking to get one over Cincinnati. While Noonan's men have been tough to crack away from home, we predict that the Herons will come away with a narrow victory and return to league action on a positive note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
45.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.21% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 32.21% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 66.93% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)33.21% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)54.96% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)15.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (-0.064 -0.06)43.88% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.06% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)53.87% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.59%
    FC Cincinnati 32.21%
    Draw 22.21%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
82.2%
Draw
8.9%
FC Cincinnati
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
6-1
Inter Miami
Kubo (10', 57'), Acosta (36'), Bucha (38'), Rodrigo Asad (45+4'), Valenzuela (72')
Nwobodo (55'), Santos (90')
Krivtsov (21')
Cremaschi (54'), Weigandt (59'), Krivtsov (61'), Busquets (62')
Busquets (63')
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Aug 24, 2023 12am
Semi-Finals
Cincinnati
3-3
Inter Miami
(Aggregate 3-3 | Inter Miami win 5-4 on penalties)
Acosta (18'), Vazquez (53'), Kubo (114')
Nwobodo (31'), Acosta (85'), Barreal (90'), Powell (111'), Arias (117')
Campana (68', 90+7'), Martinez (93')
Alba (24'), Daniel Martino (25'), Mota (41'), Aviles (70'), Krivtsov (80')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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