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DC United
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
FC Cincinnati

DC United
2 - 3
Cincinnati

Rodriguez (24'), Pirani (69')
Santos (14'), McVey (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kelsy (10'), Bucha (39', 63')
Kelsy (50'), Kubo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 DC United
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 0-2 FC Cincinnati

Cincinnati's excellent away form should see them come into the Thursday's clash as strong favourites. Additionally, DC United have struggled at home in recent matches, and their overall form suggests that they may find it difficult to achieve a positive outcome against high-flying Cincinnati. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
33.93% (0.251 0.25) 23.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 42.51% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 62.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)61.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.14400000000001 0.14)22.98% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.209 0.21)56.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)18.83% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.73% (-0.182 -0.18)50.26% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    DC United 33.93%
    FC Cincinnati 42.51%
    Draw 23.55%
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.93%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 42.51%

How you voted: DC United vs Cincinnati

DC United
16.4%
Draw
10.9%
FC Cincinnati
72.7%
55
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 7pm
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United
Acosta (55')
Herrera (43'), Stroud (51'), Klich (56'), Santos (71')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-0
Cincinnati
Santos (10'), Williams (17'), Dajome (43')
Najar (0'), Najar (64')

Murphy (66')
Murphy (79')
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
DC United
2-5
Cincinnati
Morrison (26'), Fletcher (46')
Acosta (6'), Brenner (8', 24', 37'), Vazquez (53')
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Cincinnati
0-1
DC United

Blackett (90+4')
Kamara (90+8' pen.)
Smith (90+1')
Nyeman (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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