Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.