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Kilmarnock logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rugby Park
FC Copenhagen

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Copenhagen

Watkins (16')
Armstrong (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mayo (68' og.)
Lerager (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Kilmarnock and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 0-2 Copenhagen

Kilmarnock have struggled to convert their chances this term, while the visitors have been ruthless in front of goal, scoring 22 in 11 games, leading us to believe the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCopenhagen
25.51% (0.249 0.25) 23.37% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 51.12% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 57.62% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.7% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.199 0.2)30.57% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (0.234 0.23)66.8% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.11 -0.11)17.01% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.194 -0.19)47.14% (0.195 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 25.51%
    Copenhagen 51.12%
    Draw 23.37%
KilmarnockDrawCopenhagen
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.047 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.51%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.12%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Copenhagen

Kilmarnock
16.1%
Draw
10.7%
Copenhagen
73.2%
56
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 6pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Copenhagen
2-0
Kilmarnock
Diks (77' pen.), Falk (90+6')
Vavro (17'), Diks (60'), Elyounoussi (80')

Wright (60'), McInnes (62'), O'Hara (76'), Bainbridge (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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