MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:48:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Jan 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
3 - 0
Newry City AFC

Gallagher (17'), Cosgrove (52'), Ryan (73' pen.)
Cosgrove (14'), Bonis (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

King (14'), Bagnall (14')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Larne
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 89.6%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 4-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Larne in this match.

Result
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
89.6% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 7.81% (0.025 0.03) 2.59% (0.015 0.02)
Both teams to score 33.63% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.19% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)29.81% (0.038 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.03% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)50.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.9% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)4.1% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)17.19% (0.041 0.04)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.07% (0.061 0.06)64.94% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.03% (0.026 0.03)92.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Larne 89.6%
    Newry City AFC 2.59%
    Draw 7.81%
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
3-0 @ 14.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 7.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 89.6%
1-1 @ 3.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 7.81%
0-1 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 2.59%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Newry City AFC
1-2
Larne
Salley (56')
Martin (6'), Bagnall (37'), McKeown (67')
Thomson (79', 85')
Orozco (56'), Bonis (80'), Cosgrove (84'), Ives (90')
Paul (72'), Paul (73')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Larne
4-0
Newry City AFC
O'Neill (4'), Ives (41', 76'), Glynn (43')
Donnelly (7'), Orozco (15')

O'Connor (7'), Forde (64'), Healy (66')
Jan 29, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Larne
2-0
Newry City AFC
Sule (12'), Cosgrove (49')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Newry City AFC
0-2
Larne
Millar (60'), Randall (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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