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Championship | 2nd Leg
May 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
4 - 0
Norwich

Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United cruise into the Championship playoff final after thumping Norwich City 4-0 in the second leg of their semi-final at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Leeds
Sunday, May 12 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Leeds
Sunday, May 12 at 12pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
63.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 19.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.22% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.51% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)62.89% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46%37.54%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)38.1% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)74.86% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.79%
    Norwich City 16.22%
    Draw 19.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 7%
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 63.79%
1-1 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.98%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
74.1%
Draw
11.9%
Norwich City
14.0%
193
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds25157345162952
2Burnley25131023092149
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd25156434161849
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough25117742311140
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom25912431201139
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2411672822639
8Watford2411493434037
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2510693638-236
10Bristol City2581073230234
11Norwich CityNorwich258984136533
12Swansea CitySwansea2596102929033
13Millwall247892221129
14Coventry CityCoventry2578103335-229
15Preston North EndPreston2561182733-629
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Derby CountyDerby2576123134-327
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2476112739-1227
19Stoke CityStoke2568112432-826
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2557132233-1122
23Cardiff CityCardiff2457122439-1522
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2447132453-2919


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