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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Norwich City |
35.21% ( -0.59) | 25.12% ( -0) | 39.67% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.64% ( -0.07) | 46.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( -0.07) | 68.64% ( 0.07) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% ( -0.37) | 25.59% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.53% ( -0.51) | 60.46% ( 0.51) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( 0.27) | 23.18% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( 0.39) | 57.07% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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