MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:15:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Norwich

Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Sunday, January 21 at 12pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 West Brom
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Norwich City

 With Norwich having improved of late, this has the potential to be an even contest, particularly given how Leeds failed to convince against Preston. Nevertheless, they have momentum from that contest, leading us to predict another maximum return for Leeds in a close fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
63.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 19.78% (0.004999999999999 0) 16.73% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)38.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45%11.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.29% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.07% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.48%
    Norwich City 16.73%
    Draw 19.78%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.79% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 63.48%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.73%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
78.6%
Draw
7.9%
Norwich City
13.5%
126
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
2-1
Norwich
Rodrigo (14'), Gelhardt (90+4')
Ayling (26'), Harrison (71'), James (77')
McLean (90+1')
Gunn (15'), Aarons (77')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
1-2
Leeds
Omobamidele (58')
McLean (46')
Raphinha (56'), Rodrigo (60')
Rodrigo (32'), Harrison (44'), Shackleton (67'), Drameh (79')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leeds
1-3
Norwich
Bamford (91')
Roberts (52'), Roofe (65'), Alioski (74')
Vrancic (5', 78'), Pukki (35')
Krul (26'), Stiepermann (83')
> Match Report
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
0-3
Leeds

Trybull (50')
Klich (21'), Alioski (26'), Hernandez (67')
Ayling (62'), Berardi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522
> Championship Full Table


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