Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City Under-21s would win this match.