Lille

1 - 1

Sturm Graz

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.