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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Mar 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
Wolfsberger

Sturm Graz
4 - 0
Wolfsberger

Biereth (66'), Sarkaria (70'), Lavalee (85'), Affengruber (89')
Kiteishvili (2'), Gorenc Stankovic (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Altunashvili (55'), Zimmermann (58'), Bonmann (70'), Boakye (83'), Baumgartner (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swarovski 0-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: LASK 0-1 Wolfsberger
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
48.33% (-0.315 -0.31) 24.91% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 26.76% (0.345 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (0.369 0.37)49.02% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (0.332 0.33)71.1% (-0.331 -0.33)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (0.022999999999996 0.02)52.7% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Wolfsberger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (0.47 0.47)32.62% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (0.523 0.52)69.16% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 48.32%
    Wolfsberger 26.76%
    Draw 24.91%
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 26.76%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsberger
1-2
Sturm Graz
Dante (40' og.)
Leitgeb (3'), Altunashvili (64'), Scherzer (81')
Sarkaria (54'), Kiteishvili (59')
Hierlander (42'), Wuthrich (70'), Gorenc Stankovic (75'), Scherpen (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz16113240162436
2Austria ViennaAustria Vienna16103326141233
3Rapid Vienna167722015528
4Wolfsberger168263123826
5Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg167542619726
6BW Linz167272021-123
7LASK LinzLASK166282426-220
8Hartberg165562022-220
9WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski164481421-716
10Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt164391435-2115
11Grazer AKGrazer162682133-1212
12Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach1624101324-1110


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