Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.