Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
43.53% ( -0.09) | 26.44% | 30.03% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.59% ( 0.05) | 53.42% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.06% ( 0.04) | 74.95% ( -0.03) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.63% ( -0.02) | 24.37% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% ( -0.04) | 58.77% ( 0.04) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( 0.1) | 32.44% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( 0.1) | 68.96% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |