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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
5 - 1
Liverpool Women

Bonner (19' og.), Shaw (32', 45+7', 56'), Kelly (78' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-1)
Hinds (15')
Fisk (48'), Micah (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-4 Man City Women
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-2 Liverpool Women
Sunday, December 17 at 12.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-2 Liverpool Women

Although Man City will enter Sunday's contest as the favourites, Liverpool have proven to be a tough team to beat this season, and having lost just one of their five away league games, we think the Reds could do enough to hold the Citizens to a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
83.52% (-0.199 -0.2) 10.56% (0.099 0.1) 5.91% (0.0971 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.71% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)24.28% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.02% (-0.106 -0.11)43.98% (0.103 0.1)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)4.16% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.62% (-0.137 -0.14)17.38% (0.134 0.13)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (0.231 0.23)45.49% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (0.179 0.18)81.33% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 83.52%
    Liverpool Women 5.91%
    Draw 10.56%
Manchester City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
3-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.06% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.99% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.13% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
5-1 @ 4.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.026 0.03)
6-0 @ 2.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.5% (0.013 0.01)
6-1 @ 2.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
7-0 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 83.52%
1-1 @ 4.74% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 10.56%
1-2 @ 1.87% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 1.49% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 5.91%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 2pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Mar 22, 2020 2pm
Mar 31, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
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