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Ligue 1
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Monaco

Metz
2 - 5
Monaco

Diallo (78'), Sane (84')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Minamino (4'), Akliouche (10'), Vanderson (16'), Balogun (76', 87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Metz
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 1-2 Monaco

 Monaco have surprisingly fared better recently on their travels, winning the last three at Nice (3-2), Lens (3-2) and Strasbourg (1-0) compared to picking up a point from six in recent home matches. The visitors are backed for another road success at Metz's expense, with the home team unlikely to avoid back-to-back losses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawMonaco
31.67% (-0.343 -0.34) 25.61% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 42.72% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.372 -0.37)49.41% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.335 -0.34)71.45% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)29.26% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.507 -0.51)65.22% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.01% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Metz 31.67%
    Monaco 42.72%
    Draw 25.6%
MetzDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.67%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.72%

How you voted: Metz vs Monaco

Metz
14.9%
Draw
14.9%
Monaco
70.2%
47
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 9
Monaco
2-1
Metz
Golovin (42', 55')
Matsima (67')
Camara (4')
Camara (53'), Tetteh (66'), N'Duquidi (74')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Amadou (62')
Ben Yedder (46'), Boadu (72')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Monaco
4-0
Metz
Diop (2'), Volland (44' pen.), Martins (57'), Ben Yedder (87')
Volland (49')

Bronn (78'), Traore (90')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2021 5.45pm
Round of 16
Monaco
0-0
Metz
 Monaco win 5-4 on penalties
Angban (65')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 31
Monaco
4-0
Metz
Fabregas (50' pen.), Volland (52'), Ben Yedder (77', 89' pen.)

Ndiaga Yade (36'), Caillard (48'), Kouyate (85'), Boye (85'), Centonze (90')
Boye (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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