Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Metz |
53.23% ( 0.37) | 24.45% ( -0.23) | 22.32% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% ( 0.75) | 50.94% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( 0.66) | 72.81% ( -0.66) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.91% ( 0.44) | 19.08% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.3% ( 0.72) | 50.7% ( -0.71) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% ( 0.29) | 37.54% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% ( 0.28) | 74.32% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.22% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 33 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
5 | Lyon | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
6 | Nice | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Auxerre | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Reims | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Brest | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Rennes | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
14 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
16 | NantesNantes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |