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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City

Azaz (24'), Conway (41', 79')
Borges (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Burstow (71')
Coyle (39'), McLoughlin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Hull City

While Middlesbrough are ravaged by injuries throughout their squad and Hull City could feel a boost from a change in management, we still see the gulf in quality being too large and back Middlesbrough to return to winning ways at the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
53.66% (0.263 0.26) 23.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 22.88% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.048999999999999 0.05)46.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.047000000000001 0.05)68.52% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.11499999999999 0.11)17.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (0.198 0.2)47.41% (-0.194 -0.19)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (-0.151 -0.15)34.39% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (-0.164 -0.16)71.1% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 53.66%
    Hull City 22.88%
    Draw 23.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
Draw
Hull City
Middlesbrough
75.4%
Draw
19.7%
Hull City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-2
Hull City
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hull City
1-3
Middlesbrough
Christie (60')
Akpom (30'), Figueiredo (63' og.), Christie (80' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
0-1
Hull City

Crooks (16'), Tavernier (70'), Connolly (81')
Lewis-Potter (74')
McLoughlin (26'), Slater (42'), Smallwood (80'), Honeyman (85'), Docherty (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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