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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City

Azaz (24'), Conway (41', 79')
Borges (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Burstow (71')
Coyle (39'), McLoughlin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
53.66% (0.263 0.26)23.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)22.88% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.048999999999999 0.05)46.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.047000000000001 0.05)68.52% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.11499999999999 0.11)17.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (0.198 0.2)47.41% (-0.194 -0.19)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (-0.151 -0.15)34.39% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (-0.164 -0.16)71.1% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 53.66%
    Hull City 22.88%
    Draw 23.46%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
75.4%
Draw
19.7%
Hull City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Hull City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Philogene-Bidace (29'), Michael Seri (41')
Giles (84'), Carvalho (86'), Philogene-Bidace (90+1')
Latte Lath (4'), Azaz (71')
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-2
Hull City
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hull City
1-3
Middlesbrough
Christie (60')
Akpom (30'), Figueiredo (63' og.), Christie (80' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
0-1
Hull City

Crooks (16'), Tavernier (70'), Connolly (81')
Lewis-Potter (74')
McLoughlin (26'), Slater (42'), Smallwood (80'), Honeyman (85'), Docherty (89')