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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Luton Town win it is 0-1 (5.91%).
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
55.56% ( 0.75) | 22.86% ( -0.23) | 21.58% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( 0.36) | 45.14% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% ( 0.35) | 67.48% ( -0.35) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( 0.39) | 16.1% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.5% ( 0.71) | 45.5% ( -0.71) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.01% ( -0.3) | 34.99% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% ( -0.31) | 71.74% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.37% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Millwall | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Watford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Bristol City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
18 | Hull City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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