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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Hull City |
29.49% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( 0.02) | 44.83% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.39% ( -0.08) | 50.6% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% ( -0.07) | 72.52% ( 0.06) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.62% ( -0.02) | 31.38% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( -0.02) | 67.75% ( 0.02) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.47% ( -0.06) | 22.52% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( -0.08) | 56.1% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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