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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Watford

Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Watford

While this has the potential to be a low-key affair, both managers will want to end on a high ahead of next season. Watford beat one North East side last weekend, but we feel a share of the spoils is most likely here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
48.26% (-1.454 -1.45) 23.85% (0.425 0.43) 27.89% (1.026 1.03)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.605 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (-1.183 -1.18)43.6% (1.18 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (-1.168 -1.17)65.99% (1.166 1.17)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-1.011 -1.01)18.21% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-1.746 -1.75)49.22% (1.742 1.74)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.134 0.13)28.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.168 0.17)64.82% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.26%
    Watford 27.89%
    Draw 23.84%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.268 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.183 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.356 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.235 0.24)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.89%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Watford168262524126
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
15Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
16Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
19Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
20Hull City153661620-415
21Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
22Luton TownLuton154381726-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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