MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 12:05:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Watford logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Watford

Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Watford

While this has the potential to be a low-key affair, both managers will want to end on a high ahead of next season. Watford beat one North East side last weekend, but we feel a share of the spoils is most likely here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
48.26% (-1.454 -1.45) 23.85% (0.425 0.43) 27.89% (1.026 1.03)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.605 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (-1.183 -1.18)43.6% (1.18 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (-1.168 -1.17)65.99% (1.166 1.17)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-1.011 -1.01)18.21% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-1.746 -1.75)49.22% (1.742 1.74)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.134 0.13)28.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.168 0.17)64.82% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.26%
    Watford 27.89%
    Draw 23.84%
MiddlesbroughDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.268 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.183 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.356 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.235 0.24)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.89%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
6pm
Broncos
@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!