Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford2 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bradford 0-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Watford 1-1 Middlesbrough
On the basis of their most recent results, there is an argument that Boro are now favourites to prevail from this contest. Nevertheless, we cannot get carried away by Boro's form in the short term, and a low-scoring draw is probably the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.33% ( 0.05) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 36.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% ( 0.1) | 46.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( 0.09) | 68.9% ( -0.09) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.07) | 24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.75% ( 0.1) | 58.25% ( -0.1) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0.03) | 25.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.33% ( 0.04) | 59.67% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 38.33%
Middlesbrough 36.46%
Draw 25.21%
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.46% |
How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough
Watford
50.0%Draw
40.0%Middlesbrough
10.0%20
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Form Guide
