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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Strasbourg

Montpellier
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Doukoure (71' og.), Nordin (87')
Ferri (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diarra (47' pen.), Emegha (83')
Sissoko (34'), Diarra (66'), Emegha (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Strasbourg

 Montpellier collapsed during the defeat at Marseille last time out, but La Paillade should be confident of beating a Strasbourg side who are in turmoil on and off the field. Les Alsaciens have leaked plenty of goals during their recent Ligue 1 matches, and we are expecting a similar story for Vieira's men on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
40.07% (-1.657 -1.66) 25.76% (0.493 0.49) 34.16% (1.159 1.16)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-1.368 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-1.905 -1.91)49.38% (1.9 1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-1.737 -1.74)71.42% (1.734 1.73)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-1.67 -1.67)24.32% (1.666 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-2.418 -2.42)58.7% (2.413 2.41)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.208 -0.21)27.65% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.266 -0.27)63.2% (0.262 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 40.07%
    Strasbourg 34.16%
    Draw 25.76%
Montpellier HSCDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.276 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.507 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.605 0.61)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.359 0.36)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Strasbourg

Montpellier HSC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Strasbourg
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Strasbourg
2-2
Montpellier
Lecomte (63' og.), Mothiba (69')
Delaine (12'), Guilbert (45+6'), Bakwa (76'), Vieira (90+4'), Emegha (90+7')
Khazri (35'), Nordin (40')
Adams (28'), Sylla (45+1'), Nordin (46'), Savanier (58'), Leroy (86'), Chotard (88')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Strasbourg
2-0
Montpellier
Diallo (1', 45')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 8
Montpellier
2-1
Strasbourg
Nordin (17'), Savanier (90+4' pen.)
Diallo (85')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Strasbourg
3-1
Montpellier
Majeed Waris (77'), Thomasson (84'), Gameiro (86')
Bellegarde (22'), Kandil (70')
Mollet (11')
Ferri (59'), Savanier (65')
Wahi (66')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 9
Montpellier
1-1
Strasbourg
Mollet (12')
Mollet (54'), Sakho (90+1')
Gameiro (28')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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