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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse

Montpellier
0 - 3
Toulouse


Nordin (45+2')
Savanier (51')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aboukhlal (5', 8'), King (27')
Casseres Jr (59'), McKenzie (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Angers
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Toulouse

 While Montpellier did the double over the opponent last season, they have been exceptionally poor this term, and come into this match following three consecutive defeats during which they conceded 11 times. Indeed, Toulouse have not been great either this season, but they have been solid defensively, allowing only 11 goals to date, and we feel they will be able to take at least a point from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
34.03% (-0.193 -0.19) 25.22% (0.393 0.39) 40.75% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-1.429 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (-1.835 -1.84)47% (1.826 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-1.735 -1.74)69.25% (1.726 1.73)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)26.59% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-1.328 -1.33)61.81% (1.32 1.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9)22.93% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-1.339 -1.34)56.69% (1.33 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 34.03%
    Toulouse 40.75%
    Draw 25.21%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.389 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.454 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.445 0.44)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Toulouse

Montpellier HSC
28.0%
Draw
50.0%
Toulouse
22.0%
50
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Dallinga (34')
Nicolaisen (54'), Diarra (60')
Nicolaisen (83')
Savanier (27'), Fayad (81')
Savanier (26'), Leroy (44'), Karamoh (90+5'), Fayad (90+6')
Savanier (65')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
> Preview
May 23, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 38
Toulouse
P-P
Montpellier
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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