Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 37.13% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
37.83% ( 0.67) | 25.04% ( 0.38) | 37.13% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.15% ( -1.78) | 45.85% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.84% ( -1.72) | 68.16% ( 1.71) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.09% ( -0.45) | 23.91% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.88% ( -0.65) | 58.12% ( 0.65) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( -1.36) | 24.28% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.34% ( -1.97) | 58.65% ( 1.96) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |