MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 02:27:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse

Montpellier
1 - 2
Toulouse

Wahi (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
Genreau (58'), van den Boomen (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Annecy 1-2 Toulouse
Thursday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Toulouse

 In an often high-scoring fixture, there have been 18 goals scored in the last five meetings between the sides, including a 4-2 win for Toulouse in the reverse earlier this season. However, Montpellier's resurgence has been phenomenal, and they may well continue their hot streak with another win over a side who could be focusing more on the cup final to come in a few weeks' time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
33.04% (0.54 0.54) 24.06% (-0.044 -0.04) 42.9% (-0.496 -0.5)
Both teams to score 60.37% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.392 0.39)41.93% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.394 0.39)64.34% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (0.509 0.51)24.76% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (0.706 0.71)59.32% (-0.707 -0.71)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)19.76% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)51.81% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 33.04%
    Toulouse 42.9%
    Draw 24.05%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.04%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.9%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Toulouse

Montpellier HSC
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Toulouse
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Desler (15')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
May 23, 2020 7pm
Toulouse
P-P
Montpellier
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Skhiri (54'), Camara (77')
Mendes (51'), Mollet (63')
Sidibe (67')
Jullien (86')
Oct 27, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
0-3
Montpellier

Durmaz (22'), Jean (90')
Laborde (21'), Delort (24'), Reynet (90' og.)
Delort (1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!