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Scottish Premiership
Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Livingston logo

Motherwell
3 - 1
Livingston

Spittal (14'), Bair (19', 35')
Biereth (45'), Spencer (59'), Mugabi (71'), Slattery (84')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Pittman (23')
Devlin (39'), Holt (43'), Anderson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 24 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Livingston 0-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-0 Livingston

 This is a true six-pointer for both teams at this stage in the season, and because of how much it means to each club it will likely be a closely contested fixture. Motherwell will be the favourites considering the lack of goals that Livingston have they should be able to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawLivingston
48.76% (-0.193 -0.19) 24.61% (-0.153 -0.15) 26.63% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.911 0.91)47.84% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (0.834 0.83)70.02% (-0.82799999999999 -0.83)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.283 0.28)19.67% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.455 0.45)51.65% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.765 0.77)32.1% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (0.858 0.86)68.57% (-0.851 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 48.76%
    Livingston 26.63%
    Draw 24.61%
MotherwellDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.76%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.115 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.085 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Livingston

Motherwell
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Livingston
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Livingston
2-0
Motherwell
Anderson (53'), Kelly (62' pen.)
Holt (90+3')

Spencer (69'), Wilkinson (90+4'), Casey (90+4')
Miller (45+1')
> Preview
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Livingston
1-1
Motherwell
Shinnie (83')
Montano (69'), Devlin (89')
George (43')
Van Veen (3')
Goss (57')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
3-0
Livingston
Van Veen (9', 33'), Johnston (34')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Livingston
1-1
Motherwell
Boyes (39')
Van Veen (42')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
1-0
Livingston
Van Veen (68' pen.)
Morris (61')

Bahamboula (74')
Bahamboula (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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