Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 3Braga
We said: Nacional 0-2 Braga
Braga will be licking their lips as they go up against a Nacional side against whom they are unbeaten in their last 15 encounters since October 2013. Margarido's men have struggled to find their feet in the big leagues, and given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we fancy Os Arcebispos to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Braga |
20.35% ( -0.04) | 22.02% ( -0.01) | 57.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
