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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Sportpark De Weeren
FC Utrecht

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Utrecht

Hansen (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cathline (35'), Jensen (62')
Cathline (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, November 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-2 FC Utrecht

Given the confidence levels of both teams heading into this one, we are anticipating a highly entertaining affair decorated by goals.   That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFC Utrecht
36.7% (0.452 0.45) 25.27% (0.226 0.23) 38.03% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 56.79% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09% (-1.015 -1.02)46.9% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84% (-0.954 -0.95)69.15% (0.95 0.95)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.218 -0.22)25% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)59.66% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)24.28% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (-1.166 -1.17)58.65% (1.163 1.16)
Score Analysis
    NEC 36.7%
    FC Utrecht 38.03%
    Draw 25.27%
NECDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.301 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.174 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.7%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.03%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Utrecht

NEC
24.6%
Draw
26.2%
FC Utrecht
49.2%
61
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')

Nuytinck (19')
Sep 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
3-0
Utrecht
Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-2
Utrecht
Dimata (31', 48')
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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