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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
36.7% ( 0.45) | 25.27% ( 0.23) | 38.03% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.09% ( -1.02) | 46.9% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.84% ( -0.95) | 69.15% ( 0.95) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( -0.22) | 25% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( -0.3) | 59.66% ( 0.3) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% ( -0.81) | 24.28% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% ( -1.17) | 58.65% ( 1.16) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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