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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Sportpark De Weeren
FC Utrecht

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Utrecht

Hansen (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cathline (35'), Jensen (62')
Cathline (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, November 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-2 FC Utrecht

Given the confidence levels of both teams heading into this one, we are anticipating a highly entertaining affair decorated by goals.   That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFC Utrecht
36.7% (0.452 0.45) 25.27% (0.226 0.23) 38.03% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 56.79% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09% (-1.015 -1.02)46.9% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84% (-0.954 -0.95)69.15% (0.95 0.95)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.218 -0.22)25% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)59.66% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)24.28% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (-1.166 -1.17)58.65% (1.163 1.16)
Score Analysis
    NEC 36.7%
    FC Utrecht 38.03%
    Draw 25.27%
NECDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.301 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.174 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.7%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.03%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Utrecht

NEC
24.6%
Draw
26.2%
FC Utrecht
49.2%
61
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')

Nuytinck (19')
Sep 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
3-0
Utrecht
Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-2
Utrecht
Dimata (31', 48')
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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