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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | NEC |
14.17% ( 0.63) | 17.69% ( 0.67) | 68.14% ( -1.3) |
Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.15% ( -1.82) | 33.86% ( 1.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.3% ( -2.1) | 55.7% ( 2.1) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.48% ( -0.34) | 36.52% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.7% ( -0.35) | 73.31% ( 0.35) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.92% ( -0.75) | 9.08% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.13% ( -1.85) | 30.87% ( 1.85) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.17% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.69% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 7.69% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 4.61% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 4.58% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 2.21% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 2.2% ( -0.19) 2-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.81% Total : 68.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
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