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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
NEC

Almere City
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Ouwejan (79' og.)
Haye (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Almere City
Saturday, October 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-2 NEC

Almere City have been very poor this season and come into this match having only earned a single point in five home games this term, scoring just twice while conceding 15 goals over that period. While NEC have not been at their best either in this campaign, that solid victory against Heerenveen last week would have done their confidence a world of good, and we feel they will follow up on that result with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawNEC
14.17% (0.633 0.63) 17.69% (0.67 0.67) 68.14% (-1.299 -1.3)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.15% (-1.822 -1.82)33.86% (1.825 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.3% (-2.099 -2.1)55.7% (2.102 2.1)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (-0.344 -0.34)36.52% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (-0.348 -0.35)73.31% (0.351 0.35)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.92% (-0.755 -0.75)9.08% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.13% (-1.851 -1.85)30.87% (1.854 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 14.17%
    NEC 68.14%
    Draw 17.69%
Almere CityDrawNEC
2-1 @ 4.04% (0.167 0.17)
1-0 @ 3.34% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.36% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 14.17%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.404 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.306 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.69%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.152 0.15)
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.239 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.471 0.47)
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 7.63% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.61% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-4 @ 4.58% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-4 @ 2.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-5 @ 2.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-5 @ 1.11% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 68.14%

How you voted: Almere City vs Nijmegen

Almere City
14.6%
Draw
12.2%
NEC
73.2%
41
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Almere City
1-4
Nijmegen
Van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')
Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Almere City
Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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