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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Rodney Parade
Chesterfield

Newport
0 - 3
Chesterfield


Antwi (40'), Wildig (48'), Hudlin (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Markanday (1'), Grigg (84', 87')
Oldaker (3'), Araujo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield

Chesterfield have taken four points from their last two away games, but we think that they will be left empty-handed when they face a Newport side that have won four of their five home league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
26.98% (1.965 1.97) 23.67% (0.47 0.47) 49.34% (-2.434 -2.43)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (-0.468 -0.47)43.44% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (-0.463 -0.46)65.83% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (1.272 1.27)29.51% (-1.27 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (1.523 1.52)65.53% (-1.522 -1.52)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-1.077 -1.08)17.72% (1.079 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-1.897 -1.9)48.39% (1.899 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 26.98%
    Chesterfield 49.34%
    Draw 23.67%
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.362 0.36)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 26.98%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.407 -0.41)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 49.34%

How you voted: Newport vs Chesterfield

Newport County
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Chesterfield
23.1%
52
Head to Head
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Newport
4-1
Chesterfield
Nouble (55', 66', 68'), Amond (82')
Rigg (91')
O'Grady (37')
Reed (90')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Dec 1, 2013 1pm
Newport
3-2
Chesterfield
Crow (6'), Chapman (74' pen.), Sandell (87')
Jolley (28')
Ryan (62'), Richards (90')
Banks (68')
Cooper (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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