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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Swansea City |
57.3% ( -0.04) | 21.79% ( 0.01) | 20.91% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.8% ( -0.04) | 41.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.4% ( -0.04) | 63.59% ( 0.04) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.82% ( -0.03) | 14.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.14% ( -0.05) | 41.85% ( 0.04) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( -0) | 33.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.97% ( -0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
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