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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
2 - 2
Swansea

Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Swansea City

This has the makings of an entertaining encounter given that Swansea have been one of the form teams in the division over the past couple of weeks. However, we cannot ignore Norwich's home form, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
57.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 21.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)41.19% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)63.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)14.17% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.85% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)70.03% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 57.3%
    Swansea City 20.91%
    Draw 21.79%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
67.3%
Draw
19.2%
Swansea City
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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