Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.